Toyota Motor Stock Performance

TM Stock  USD 226.86  0.21  0.09%   
Toyota has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.99, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Toyota returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Toyota is expected to follow. Toyota Motor right now has a risk of 1.64%. Please validate Toyota maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Toyota will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Toyota Motor are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating primary indicators, Toyota may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.09)
Five Day Return
0.83
Year To Date Return
4.13
Ten Year Return
88.42
All Time Return
7.1 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0253
Payout Ratio
0.0913
Last Split Factor
11:10
Forward Dividend Rate
5.73
Dividend Date
2025-12-08
 
Toyota dividend paid on 8th of December 2025
12/08/2025
1
Toyota has an electric pickup Meet the Hilux BEV Images
01/09/2026
2
Toyota on Western Announces Major Facility Expansion and Full Renovation to Better Serve the Chicago Community
01/15/2026
3
Toyota Made A Pink Sedan, And The Reason Is Actually Pretty Sweet
01/20/2026
4
Chicagos Auto Show Starts Soon, And It Might Already Be Over
01/23/2026
5
Motorcyclist Killed In Crash With Car In East County
01/26/2026
6
Mommy isnt coming back Expectant mom heading home from In-N-Out after satisfying pregnancy craving is killed by drunk Lexus driver, leaving behind 4-year-old so...
01/28/2026
7
Stellantis Balances Price Cuts Robotics Push And Delayed Belvidere Reopening
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow9.4 T
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.2 T

Toyota Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  20,572  in Toyota Motor on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,114  from holding Toyota Motor or generate 10.28% return on investment over 90 days. Toyota Motor is generating 0.1711% of daily returns and assumes 1.64% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 14% of stocks are less risky than Toyota on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 97% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toyota is expected to generate 2.21 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Toyota Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Toyota Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 226.86 90 days 226.86 
about 7.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toyota to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.25 (This Toyota Motor probability density function shows the probability of Toyota Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toyota has a beta of 0.99. This usually implies Toyota Motor market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Toyota is expected to follow. Additionally Toyota Motor has an alpha of 0.0913, implying that it can generate a 0.0913 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Toyota Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toyota

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toyota Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
225.13226.77228.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
201.01202.65249.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
226.87228.51230.15
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
222.25244.23271.09
Details

Toyota Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toyota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toyota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toyota Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toyota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
10.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Toyota Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toyota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toyota Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toyota Motor has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 8th of December 2025 Toyota paid $ 3.0076 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Stellantis Balances Price Cuts Robotics Push And Delayed Belvidere Reopening

Toyota Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toyota Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toyota's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toyota's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments15.9 T

Toyota Fundamentals Growth

Toyota Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toyota, and Toyota fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toyota Stock performance.

About Toyota Performance

By examining Toyota's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Toyota's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Toyota is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.28  25.55 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.07 

Things to note about Toyota Motor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toyota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Toyota Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toyota Motor has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 8th of December 2025 Toyota paid $ 3.0076 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Stellantis Balances Price Cuts Robotics Push And Delayed Belvidere Reopening
Evaluating Toyota's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Toyota's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Toyota's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Toyota's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Toyota's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Toyota's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Toyota's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Toyota's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Toyota's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Toyota's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Toyota's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toyota Motor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Toyota diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toyota. If investors know Toyota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Toyota data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.665
Dividend Share
95
Earnings Share
23.18
Revenue Per Share
2.4 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Toyota Motor's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Toyota's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Toyota's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Toyota's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toyota's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toyota is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toyota's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.